Sunday, February 10, 2019

The Swiss Franc Drops in Asian Markets

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is dropping in Asian Markets...seems like some "banks" have been making some (forced) transactions over the weekend.


Let's see how the Dice roll...



Sunday, January 13, 2019

How Much Does the Pound Weigh (Part 2)

The Pound opened with another price gap leading into "Brexit" elections in March from their parliament next week. Again, I want to reinstate, I was never a person with too much words..more action-oriented.
Y'all be safe out there.
Let's see how the Dice Roll.


Sunday, January 6, 2019

How Much does the "Pound" Weigh?

Aside from fall in U.S equities and market uncertainty, money seems to flow to "safe havens" like Gold and the Japanese Yen. Amid Brexit in March, the "Pound" is still under much scrutiny. I never was a person with "too much" words, but depreciation for this currency is right around corner.

The first Chart is #forex while the second is Pound #futures. My price levels read key buy/sell Levels.

Let's see how the Dice Roll...



Thursday, December 20, 2018

The Aussie's Divergence from GOLD

The Aussie usually trades in line with the price of GOLD gaining more correspondance contrary to the Dollar. The AUDUSD recently diverged from the price of spot GOLD which gives me the notion that this pair will soon correct itself if GOLD continues to appreciate. We have key support around .6980 with a 3 year low at .6900. We could see more appreciation around the new "Year" if Gold continues to rise above the price of the Dollar.

Let's see how the Dice Roll...



The Yen as the Safe Haven (12.20.18)



After the BOJ Decision, markets seem to gravitate towards the YEN and GOLD as safe Havens to counter FED Rate Hikes and market uncertainty. Ironically, the YEN has been the "GOTO" pair versus U.S Equities since Aug 2013.




Let's see how long this Divergence in indexes will play out...



Wednesday, December 19, 2018

The Dollar (DXY) and Spot Gold (GC) Hit Key Pivot Points



The dolllar (DXY) and spot Gold (GC) are trading a key pivot levels amid market volatility and uncertainty. I will be observant around these levels as markets intend to slow down for U.S Holidays. Major movements around these levels could set a trend leading into the next year.




Let's see how the Dice Rolls...




Sunday, December 9, 2018

Thursday, December 6, 2018

EURUSD 12.6.18



#EURUSD seems to be struggling at 1.1400 price levels. I'm still cautious of $DXY volatility around this time especially after U.S Equity reopening today from yesterday's shutdown. We could see a Friday sell off if the Dollar Gains Strength.

Let's see how the dice roll.



Friday, November 30, 2018

SPY 11.30.18



$SPY has been creeping up this week after dropping from a sell-off in previous weekly sessions. The slaughter may not be over as volume diminishes near previous levels of resistance. If sellers take control, we could see another drop around $277 as markets wrap up for the week.


Let's see how the dice roll.




Saturday, August 18, 2018

Saturday Workflow 8.18.18

Doing some Saturday Night Homework on the FX Market. As you can see, the currency market is heavily Bearish....


P.S I build all these spreadsheets myself..

Let's See How the Dice Roll..




Tuesday, August 14, 2018

Putting Fire to the Turkey....

As the Turkish Lira continues to plunge, it could send ripple affect across the markets especially in the emerging markets as this currency crisis turns into a DEBT crisis. Turkey's president is taken little measures to prevent the slide even suggesting contrary approaches to traditional measures such as raising rates. We could see more depreciation in the near future which could extent into areas where commodities may become more volatile in in pricing.


Below is a list of Emerging Markets ETF's which ironically ALL are down for the year. We could see more appreciation if measures are not met and markets continue to sell-off..


Let's see how the dice roll..




Tuesday, July 31, 2018

USDCAD Heads Towards Key Support

USDCAD heads towards 1.2950 Support as the dollar consolidates while the Canadian dollar still shows room for growth. Strong Crude Prices could help the Canadian dollar rally furthers as $75 Crude is its overall medium price.

Lets see how the dice roll...





Saturday, June 16, 2018

From Corporate America to Corporate 3rd World...

Traditionally, the "Big 3" credit agencies ( Moody's, S&P, and Fitch) have dominated that market in rating bonds from countries to corporations. As the world changes as well as the market, new agencies are stepping up to the forefront to ignite a different outlook on how we rate current markets.
Besides the traditional three, there are seven major credit agencies that give their ratings and perspective for investor discretion and preference. Among the seven, Dagong based out of China is taken unprecedented majors to accurately rate the current debt market and coming crisis.



In 2011, S&P was the first agency to downgrade U.S debt from AAA to AA+ in history due to the current administrations decision to raise the debt level. This downgrade lead to further cuts from minor firms in the following years even Fitch downgraded and then upgrading the country's rating a year after. Aside from the "traditioners", Dagong was the only agency to downgrade and consistently downgrade U.S debt years to follow to a current rating of BBB+ (Negative Outlook). This current rating is a result of the U.S's continuation from one administration to the next to raise the "debt ceiling" increasing the overall deficit to a current $19.8 Trillion.

Rising Interest Rates

The current administrations number one objective is to raise interest rates to level the equity markets, but also taking massive tax cuts which will reduce it's ability to balance (not pay off) it's deficit. This could be seen as a paradox which such firms a Dagong have taken the initiative to foresee what these actions could bring in the near future. Aside from that, U.S Corporate bonds are bought mainly from pension funds, insurers, hedge funds, and sovereign wealth funds which in turned are backed by the Federal Reserve bond purchases and sold through U.S Treasuries. So what happens when U.S Treasuries become less attractive?


(This is a chart of 30-Year Bond rates which include inflation and interest rates. Take note, the "debt ceiling" has continuously been raised)

To Name a Few

This is just one of the many factors on why China is taken a prominent stance in it's region and abroad mainly because it's still the number holder of U.S debt. So when this debt becomes less attractive to buy, China will feel the effect more than any other nation. Current trade wars (tariffs) could be seen as one lender (China) responding to a borrowers actions to make the lender pay for is outstanding debt. Tariffs will only fuel more trade wars as China has no other option than to retaliate. As Dagong is set to compete with the "traditional 3", we will see a rise from other credit agencies that see the affect the current market will have on emerging markets and the economy as a whole leading into the future.


Until then, let's see how the dice roll.

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

USPJPY Retreats from Key Resistance

USDJPY retreats from key resistance around 110.55 as the FED hikes rates a quarter percentage Wednesday (June 13, 2018). Confirmation of further depreciation will depend heavily on the YEN as markets remain uncertainty of U.S/ Korean Diplomacy. The Dollar Index remains consolidated around 94.00- 93.50 area for the week.

Lets' see how the dice rolls...





Thursday, June 7, 2018

USDCHF Faces Short Term Support

USDCHF faces short term support around .9770 leading to the close of this weekly session. We could see a bounce to .9825 levels, but a breakout below this level of support could lead to further depreciation around .9700 levels.

Let's see how the dice rolls..




Saturday, May 12, 2018

Bitcoin Futures Headed Toward a New Low

Bitcoin Futures haven't seen a New High since insertion. We may be headed towards a Lower Low...


Cleveland Cliff's Inc



$CLF is a mining company that moves in line with the price of Silver. You can literally play Silver's trading range with this stock... 


Monday, May 7, 2018

USDCHF Approaches Key Levels of Resistance

With recnt Dollar strength and Weakness in the Swiss Franc, the USDCHF has been on a 4-Month Bullish Rally. A break out or break down at 1.0120 levels will confirm whether this rally will continue for another streak.

Let's see how the dice roll..